Load Curtailment Estimation in Response to Extreme Events

نویسندگان

  • Rozhin Eskandarpour
  • Amin Khodaei
  • Ali Arab
چکیده

A machine learning model is proposed in this paper to help estimate potential nodal load curtailment in response to an extreme event. This is performed through identifying which grid components will fail as a result of an extreme event, and consequently, which parts of the power system will encounter a supply interruption. The proposed model to predict component outages is based on a Support Vector Machine (SVM) model. This model considers the category and the path of historical hurricanes, as the selected extreme event in this paper, and accordingly trains the SVM. Once trained, the model is capable of classifying the grid components into two categories of outage and operational in response to imminent hurricanes. The obtained component outages are then integrated into a load curtailment minimization model to estimate the nodal load curtailments. The merits and the effectiveness of the proposed models are demonstrated using the standard IEEE 30-bus system based on various hurricane path/intensity scenarios.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Optimal Power Flow in the Smart Grid Using Direct Load Control Program

This paper proposes an Optimal Power Flow (OPF) algorithm by Direct Load Control (DLC) programs to optimize the operational cost of smart grids considering various scenarios based on different constraints. The cost function includes active power production cost of available power sources and a novel flexible load curtailment cost associated with DLC programs. The load curtailment cost is based ...

متن کامل

Demand Response Based Model for Optimal Decision Making for Distribution Networks

In this paper, a heuristic mathematical model for optimal decision-making of a Distribution Company (DisCo) is proposed that employs demand response (DR) programs in order to participate in a day-ahead market, taking into account elastic and inelastic load models. The proposed model is an extended responsive load modeling that is based on price elasticity and customers’ incentives in which they...

متن کامل

Power System Reliability Analysis with Emergency Demand Response Program

With the development of restructured power systems and increase of prices in some hours of day and increase fuel price, demand response programs were noticed more by customers. demand response consists of a series of activities that governments or utilities design to change the amount or time of electric energy consumption, to achieve better social welfare or some times for maximizing the benef...

متن کامل

Power System Reliability Analysis with Emergency Demand Response Program

With the development of restructured power systems and increase of prices in some hours of day and increase fuel price, demand response programs were noticed more by customers. demand response consists of a series of activities that governments or utilities design to change the amount or time of electric energy consumption, to achieve better social welfare or some times for maximizing the benef...

متن کامل

Active Distribution Networks Restoration after Extreme Events

After extreme events such as floods, thunderstorms, blizzards and hurricanes there will be devastating effects in the distribution networks which may cause a partial or complete blackout. Then, the major concern for the system operators is to restore the maximum critical loads as soon as possible by available generation units.  In order to solve this problem, this paper provides a restoration s...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • CoRR

دوره abs/1802.05833  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2018